Last Friday’s US July Employment Situation release has delivered the kind of statistical jolt that rarely shows up outside crises, forcing traders to re-evaluate both the macro outlook and Bitcoin’s near-term path. Payrolls grew by just 73,000, but the shock lay in the record-large negative revisions: May and June were marked down by a combined 258,000 jobs, slicing the three-month hiring average to 35,000 and erasing nearly all of the second-quarter’s reported momentum. The Bureau of Labor Statistics notes that revisions of that magnitude have been seen only during the Covid collapse. Is Bitcoin Really Facing A Black Swan Event? Bloomberg Economics chief US economist Anna Wong wrote: “The downward revisions to May and June payrolls in the July jobs report constitute a black swan event – a three-standard-deviation move with less than a 0.2% chance of occurrence in the last 30 years. Adjusted for our estimate of the job overstatement from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ birth-death model, the three-month hiring pace turns outright negative.” The data, she wrote in a terminal note circulated Friday, “flipped the labor-market script” from re-acceleration to abrupt cooling. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could See Another Crash To Fill This Imbalance Before Rally To $120,000 The market’s crypto voice on the issue has been Bitwise Europe’s head of research, André Dragosch, who spent the morning posting a string of warnings on X. First came the news, ”According to Bloomberg chief economist Anna Wong, the most recent payroll revisions were a ‘black swan event’.Will probably get even worse before it gets better…”, then the maxim, “Yes – bad for payrolls = good for bitcoin, at least over the medium to long term.” Minutes later he argued that deeper revisions could force emergency easing: “NOTE: There is a strong case for a negative June jobs print after further downside revisions which could lead to a 50 bps rate cut in September… Plan accordingly. #Bitcoin” By mid-afternoon he pushed the point to its logical extreme: “ATTENTION: We are probably just a single negative NFP print away from a significant repricing in Fed rate cut expectations. US labor market & inflation data surprises are still as bad as during Covid but traders only price in 2 cuts until Dec 2025… Printer is coming… ” Interest-rate futures moved sharply in Dragosch’s direction. On Wednesdays, the CME FedWatch Tool showed a 91 percent probability of at least one cut at the 17–18 September FOMC meeting. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari acknowledged that “the real underlying economy is slowing,” while Governor Lisa Cook called the size of the revisions “concerning.” Bitcoin’s price action captured the tug-of-war between recession fear and liquidity hope. The flagship cryptocurrency slumped to $111,920 on 2 August, its lowest print since early July, immediately after the payroll release and President Donald Trump’s subsequent firing of BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer. A tentative rebound toward $111,500 followed as rate-cut odds ballooned this week. Yet, Bitcoin remained tethered to macro headlines rather than its own cycle. Still, the first clear sign of positioning for easier policy has emerged in fund flows. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net $91.6 million inflow on 7 August, snapping a four-day outflow streak that had drained more than $380 million from the vehicles. Whether Bloomberg’s and Dragosch’s black-swan framing proves prescient will depend on the next few data prints and the Fed’s tolerance for risk. For now the market is caught between those poles: one bad jobs number away from a full-blown policy response, but one more shock away from a broader risk-off spiral. The only certainty, as Wong’s probability math and Dragosch’s full-throated alerts both imply, is that the margin for error has evaporated. At press time, BTC traded at $116,359. Powered by WPeMatico

Dubai has officially cemented its position at the forefront of global crypto regulation. This bold regulatory step positions Dubai as a global trailblazer in shaping the future of institutional crypto markets and blending innovation with compliance. As jurisdictions around the world debate how to handle digital assets, Dubai is already laying the groundwork for the financial infrastructure of tomorrow. Why This Approval Matters For Global Financial Markets The Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) has officially approved the first-ever cryptocurrency options license, marking it a breakthrough moment for the emirate region’s rapidly evolving digital asset ecosystem. As highlighted in the press release, the permit was granted to a Nomura-backed digital assets firm, Laser Digital. This permit has authorized the firm to offer over-the-counter (OTC) crypto options trading to institutional investors under VARA’s regulatory framework. This development solidifies Dubai’s status as a premier global hub for cryptocurrency and blockchain innovation. With VARA granting Dubai its first crypto options license, it provides a clear regulatory pathway for firms seeking to offer complex instruments and crypto derivatives. By doing so, Dubai is setting the bar for how governments can blend innovation with compliance.  The approval of Laser Digital under VARA’s framework reflects a commitment to fostering a business-friendly environment with robust regulatory standards, including Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and know-your-customer (KYC) requirements. This gives institutional investors confidence that the space is both progressive and secure. Why Listed Spot Trading Launched Matters For US Crypto Markets While the first-ever cryptocurrency options license has been approved, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), under Caroline D. Pham, has launched a listed spot crypto trading initiative. According to the release, this license opens the door for regulated exchanges such as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) to offer direct trading of real crypto tokens, not just for futures contracts, but under official United States oversight. It is important to note that spot trading is where you buy and sell the actual asset itself, such as Bitcoin or Ethereum, for immediate settlement, which hasn’t been regulated at the federal level. It’s different from trading futures or derivatives, where traders speculate on price without owning the asset. “Under President Trump’s strong leadership and vision, the CFTC is full speed ahead on enabling immediate trading of digital assets at the Federal level in coordination with the SEC’s Project Crypto,”  Acting Chairman Pham stated. If this goes through, it would bring spot and futures trading under the same regulatory rulebook, making the crypto market simpler, clearer, and more secure for everyone involved, which is a step forward for the crypto industry. It will also pave the way for retail and institutional investors to engage in crypto markets with a higher level of trust, knowing that trading is taking place on federally regulated exchanges. Powered by WPeMatico

On-chain data shows that the Bitcoin short-term holders have switched to loss-taking recently. Here’s what this could mean for the asset. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder SOPR Has Dropped Below 1.0 In a new post on X, the on-chain analysis platform Checkonchain has talked about how the behavior of the Bitcoin short-term holders has changed recently. The indicator shared by Checkonchain is the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), which tells us about whether the BTC investors are selling/moving their coins at a profit or loss. When the value of the metric is greater than 1, it means the holders as a whole are participating in profit-taking. On the other hand, it being under the mark suggests the market is realizing a net loss. In the context of the current discussion, the SOPR of the entire network isn’t of interest, but rather that of only a specific part of it: the short-term holders (STHs). This cohort includes the holders who purchased their coins in the past 155 days. Statistically, the longer investors hold onto their coins, the less likely they are to sell them at any point. But since the STH group is made up of holders with a short holding time, conviction tends to be weak among its members, with panic selloffs often taking place. Recently, Bitcoin has seen a decline, so it would be expected that the STHs would have shown some kind of reaction. Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm, showing the nature of selling that the cohort has participated in. As is visible in the graph, the Bitcoin STH SOPR shot up to a notable level above 1 when the asset’s price set its all-time high (ATH), indicating that these fickle-minded hands took the opportunity of the rally to exit in profit. The profit-taking, however, declined in the consolidation phase that followed this peak, and the recent bearish price action has outright pushed the metric below 1. The indicator currently has a value of 0.99, which is still almost neutral, but it does show that some top buyers have started to capitulate. As Checkonchain explains, “many recent top buyers and ‘Weaker’ hands are selling around their buy-in price and saying ‘get me out.’” In the past, capitulation events from the Bitcoin STHs have often meant a flush of weak hands, facilitating bottom formations for the cryptocurrency. Sometimes these events can go on for a while before the market reaches a turnaround, as happened in the lead-up to the April low. But interestingly, the STH SOPR’s dip into the loss-taking zone in June was quite short-lived and led into a quick reversal for the asset. It now remains to be seen which trend will play out for BTC this time. BTC Price Bitcoin has shown some recovery during the past day as its price has jumped to $116,400. Powered by WPeMatico

Solana is seeing a sharp rise in institutional demand, with publicly traded companies now holding over $591 million worth of SOL. According to new data from CoinGecko, four firms—Upexi, DeFi Developments Corp, SOL Strategies, and Torrent Capital—have collectively acquired more than 3.5 million SOL, marking one of the strongest waves of corporate accumulation in the asset’s history. Solana Sees Massive Institutional Buying Spree Institutional appetite for Solana is accelerating at a pace not seen before, signaling a shift in market sentiment as major players seek exposure to SOL. A new report by CoinGecko reveals that four publicly listed companies have collectively acquired more than 3.5 million SOL, now valued at over $591 million.  Leading the pack is Upexi, a Solana treasury company. Since late April 2025, Upexi has acquired 1.9 million SOL at an average cost of $168.63 per token, investing approximately $320.4 million. According to CoinGecko, the company’s position is currently valued at $319.5 million, slightly down by $0.9 million. However, the entire amount is staked, earning an 8% annual yield as of June 30.  Close behind is DeFi Developments Corp, an AI-powered online platform, with approximately 1,182,685 SOL in its treasury. The company has maintained an aggressive pace of accumulation, most recently adding 181,303 SOL on July 29 at an average price of $155.33 per token. CoinGecko reveals that DeFi Dev Corp acquired its total position at an average price of $137.07, making its holdings now worth $198.9 million, with an unrealised gain of $36.8 million. SOL Strategies, a Toronto-based investment firm, holds 392,667 SOL, acquired steadily from mid-2024 to July 2025. Purchased at an average price of $158.12, the company’s position is now worth $66 million, reflecting a $3.9 million gain. Finally, Torrent Capital, a publicly traded investment company, has acquired 40,039 SOL. CoinGecko notes that the firm bought its Solana holdings in 2025 at an average price of $161.84. Now valued at $6.7 million, this smaller but well-timed bet is sitting on a profit of approximately $0.2 million.  Overall, these four companies control roughly 0.65% of Solana’s circulating supply and about 0.58% of its total supply.  How Public Companies Are Buying SOL Moving forward, CoinGecko also reveals important details on how each company approaches its SOL allocation. While all four companies’ methods of accumulation differ, they share a growing confidence in Solana’s long-term prospects.   According to the report, Upexi moved quickly, building the largest SOL treasury within four months and signaling a high-conviction and long-term bet. DeFi Developments Corp has taken a more tactical approach, adding to its position during market dips while remaining committed to holding.  On the other hand, SOL Strategies built its stake gradually over 13 months through dollar-cost averaging and staking rewards, reflecting a disciplined, long-term strategy. Lastly, Torrent Capital took on a more strategically timed move, securing gains ahead of Solana’s rally in 2025.  Powered by WPeMatico

Avalanche (AVAX) is starting to flash signs of a potential trend reversal as a clear double bottom pattern forms on the weekly chart. With price action building strength, bulls now have their sights set on the next key Fibonacci resistance zone.  Double Bottom Strengthens: Can Fibonacci Levels Hold? In a recent analysis of the weekly chart posted on X, The Boss, a market analyst, highlighted that Avalanche is currently establishing a solid technical foundation. He noted the emergence of a clear double bottom formation, often considered a reliable reversal signal when confirmed. According to The Boss, if this bullish pattern continues to play out, traders should keep an eye on the resistance zones marked by yellow lines, which are based on Fibonacci retracement levels.  The Boss emphasized that the most critical level to watch is the horizontal resistance represented by the green line. He explained that a strong weekly close above this area would likely act as a technical catalyst, potentially unlocking more upside for AVAX in the near term Charting Key Technical Indicators Sharing further technical breakdown, The Boss drew attention to several key indicators that signal growing bullish momentum for AVAX. One of the standout observations is the MACD on the weekly chart, which is on the verge of a bullish crossover—a classic signal that buying pressure is gaining strength. The Boss also noted that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 55, just above the midpoint of the neutral zone. This positioning, coupled with its upward tilt, reflects a shift in momentum that favors the bulls. If the key indicator continues this upward trajectory, it could reinforce the developing bullish sentiment. Turning to the ADX, The Boss explained that while it remains below the 25 threshold—typically used to define a strong trend—it is showing gradual signs of strengthening. He suggested that a move above 25 would add weight to the bullish case by confirming the emergence of a more defined upward trend. Volume was another factor that The Boss highlighted in his analysis. He pointed out a steady increase in trading volume over recent weeks, which often signifies growing investor interest and confidence. In his view, this uptick supports the technical outlook and adds fuel to the potential breakout scenario. However, The Boss issued a note of caution despite the promising setup. He emphasized that crypto markets are inherently volatile, and for this bullish case to hold, price action must remain above key resistance zones. Traders, he advised, should watch closely for confirmation from indicators and weekly closes to validate the continuation of the trend. Powered by WPeMatico

MetaMask, one of the most widely used Web3 wallets with over 100 million users, has officially integrated the Sei Network, a Layer-1 blockchain known for its speed and scalability. This major update now allows users to access Sei’s decentralized applications (dApps), tokens, NFTs, and perform SEI transactions directly from MetaMask, without the need for third-party tools or bridges. With this integration, the total number of supported blockchains in MetaMask rises to 11, further strengthening its position as a leading multi-chain wallet. A dedicated Sei section within the MetaMask Portfolio now offers users a smooth entry point to the network’s gaming, DeFi, and NFT ecosystem. Sei’s Ecosystem Growth Fuels Investor Optimism The timing of this integration couldn’t be better for the token. The network has recently achieved significant growth milestones: over 4.2 million daily transactions, a TVL surpassing $600 million, and 11 million monthly active users, all since launching its EVM-compatible chain less than a year ago. The tokenimproved accessibility through MetaMask is expected to attract more developers and users alike, expanding the reach of its high-performance blockchain infrastructure. According to Justin Barlow of the Sei Development Foundation, this marks a strategic leap toward making Sei the “best EVM ecosystem.” Market interest in the SEI token has already responded positively, with a 2.5% uptick post-announcement, and more upside could be in play. Bullish Indicators Suggest This Crypto Could Hit $0.50 Soon Several technical indicators are flashing green for the token. The Supertrend indicator has flipped bullish on the weekly chart, a signal previously followed by substantial price increases. Supporting metrics include: RSI (14): 51.3 — Neutral, room to climb Stochastic (9,6): 63.4 — Buy signal ADX (14): 28.9 — Strengthening trend Williams %R: -43.5 — Momentum building Crypto analyst @ali_charts predicts SEI could soon reach $0.54, citing strong chart structure and renewed investor confidence. With growing on-chain activity, seamless MetaMask access, and technical support, the SEI token appears poised for a breakout. The MetaMask’s Sei integration is not just a win for convenience, it signals a bullish bet on the future of decentralized interoperability as Web3 shifts toward a multi-chain reality. Cover image from ChatGPT, SUIUSD chart from Tradingview Powered by WPeMatico

A new analysis by popular crypto chartist EGRAG CRYPTO on the social media platform X provides an in-depth look at five technical markets on XRP’s path forward. Notably, XRP’s price action has been experiencing a slight retracement and consolidation in early August following a rally in July during which XRP broke above $3 and reached new all-time highs. Key Things To Watch Out For With XRP’s Price Action Currently trading just around the $3.00 psychological level, XRP’s price action is witnessing volatile candles across shorter timeframes. However, according to the technical outlook from EGRAG CRYPTO, XRP bulls appear to be defending key zones around $2.90, amidst the broader market sentiment remaining cautiously optimistic. The first key thing to watch out for is bullish closings above $3. Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, EGRAG’s first key observation is that XRP has managed to close multiple candlesticks above the $3.00 threshold. This level is not only psychological but also a strong confidence booster for traders looking for confirmation of bullish continuation.  Secondly, the charts show that most of the candle wicks are forming from the upside, a sign that while sellers are active, they have not overwhelmed the buying strength just yet. However, the third key thing to watch out for is a possible correction. Particularly, EGRAG noted that a retest of the $2.96 to $2.93 price zone is possible in the near term. This price range has been marked as a short-term support zone, where buyers could look to reload if XRP briefly dips.  That being said, the more critical level for bulls to protect is $2.80, which is the fourth key thing to watch out for. According to the analyst, closing below $2.80 again would undermine the bullish structure and could cause downside momentum. As such, holding above this level is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum.  Price Target Goals The fifth key thing to watch out for as the bull market unfolds is price targets that can confirm bullish momentum. In terms of price targets and resistances, EGRAG noted specific price levels that would reflect new bullish energy and possibly a breakout to new all-time highs.  The first milestone is a close above $3.185. This level previously acted as a rejection zone in late July. Therefore, breaching $3.185 with conviction would flip sentiment more decisively in favor of the bulls. Above that, the analyst highlighted $3.25 as the next key checkpoint, and surpassing it would put XRP in a strong technical position. The resistance targets beyond that are $3.33 and $3.45, and these are breakout zones that could cause a new all-time high scenario. These targets align with the upper resistance blocks illustrated on EGRAG’s charts, and any solid close above $3.45 can be interpreted as a move to at least $3.65. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $3, up by 2.4% in the past 24 hours. Powered by WPeMatico

Франция переходит на новый этап внедрения криптовалют, поскольку партия крайнего правого крыла Rassemblement National (RN) готовит законопроект, разрешающий использовать неиспользуемую ядерную энергию для майнинга Биткоина. По информации французской газеты Le Monde, лидер партии и трижды выдвигавшийся в президенты Марин Ле Пен продвигала этот план во время визита на АЭС Фламанвиль 11 марта, заявив, что это разумный способ превратить упущенное электричество в “надежные и крайне прибыльные” цифровые активы. План Франции: майнить Биткоин с помощью ядерной энергии Предложение Rassemblement National стало одной из самых обсуждаемых криптоинициатив во Франции. Партия утверждает, что поскольку Франция часто производит больше электроэнергии, чем потребляет, излишки не должны пропадать впустую. Законодатель от RN Орелиен Лопес-Лигуори подготовил законопроект о размещении оборудования для майнинга Биткоина на ядерных объектах компании Électricité de France (EDF), государственной энергетической компании. Идея состоит в том, чтобы направить неиспользуемую ядерную энергию (до одного гигаватта избытков) прямо на майнинговые фермы. Поскольку более 70% французской электроэнергии производится на АЭС, избыточные объемы электроэнергии продаются с убытком или даже за счет Франции передаются соседним странам. Вместо того чтобы продавать лишнюю энергию в убыток, Франция будет использовать ее для более выгодного дела – майнинга Биткоина и сохранения прибыли. Законопроект, поданный в Национальное собрание Франции 11 июля 2025 года, предусматривает пятилетнюю пилотную программу, которая позволит энергетическим компаниям создавать майнинговые предприятия непосредственно на АЭС. По внутренним оценкам, это может приносить от 100 до 150 миллионов долларов дохода в год. Политический поворот: от скептиков к сторонникам криптовалют Поддержка майнинга Биткоина со стороны Rassemblement National обозначает резкий поворот в отношении партии к криптовалюте. В 2016 году Марин Ле Пен была категорически против криптовалют, считая, что они лишат граждан контроля над финансами и увеличат власть глобальных банков, выступая за полный запрет их использования во Франции. Однако к 2022 году Ле Пен смягчила свою позицию, начав поддерживать регулируемое использование криптовалют в финансовой сфере. А к 2025 году она открыто выступает за майнинг Биткоина как часть национальной стратегии, что отражает значительные изменения как внутри её партии, так и в общественном политическом дискурсе по теме крипто. После неудачи подобного предложения в июне 2025 года депутат Лопес-Лигуори переработал законопроект, сделав акцент на национальную инфраструктуру и экономическое восстановление, утверждая, что план поможет сделать Францию более экономически независимой и решить давнюю проблему с избыточной энергией. В случае принятия Франция станет первой страной в Европе, официально связавшей майнинг Биткоина, поддерживаемый государством, с ядерной энергией, задавая пример другим странам, стремящимся заработать на избыточной возобновляемой или ядерной энергии. Быки стремятся превратить уровень $114 000 в поддержку. Источник: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Токен Maxi Doge (MAXI) собирает $400 тыс. на предпродаже, поскольку трейдеры проявляют интерес Maxi Doge (MAXI) – это новый смелый мем-коин, построенный вокруг культуры “только вверх”, которая определяет крипто-бычьи рынки. Токен дает сообществу шанс “выйти из душной комнаты”, уйти от ограничений и получить доступ к потенциальным сделкам x1000 через Maxi Fund. 25% общей эмиссии направлены на поиск самых взрывных токенов цикла, без стоп-лоссов, без страха и с одним правилом: если цена падает – удваивай ставку! Такие инвестиции с высоким риском и высокой уверенностью для тех, кто хочет либо поучить максимальную прибыль, либо уйти с рынка с пустыми руками. Maxi Doge создан для настоящих криптоэкстремалов! Предпродажа еще актуальна: неавно бло собрано целых $400 000. Чтобы купить токен $MAXI прямо сейчас, достаточно зайти на официальный сайт Maxi Doge и подключить свой криптокошелек (например, Best Wallet). Вы можете обменять USDT или ETH на токен, либо инвестировать в проект с помощью банковской карты. Powered by WPeMatico